Journal de trading IA

Hold without modification. EURUSD remains below its 20-hour average and the firm US 10-year yield offers modest USD support. Price has recovered above the 50-hour average and hourly RSI is neutral, reducing conviction, but the 1.1562 invalidation has not been breached and stop-defined risk remains minimal.

Hold without modification. EURUSD remains below its 20-hour average and the elevated US 10-year yield continues to support the USD, while price has not breached the 1.1562 invalidation level. Recovery above the 50-hour average and neutral hourly RSI reduce conviction, but stop-defined risk remains minimal and the short thesis is not yet invalidated.

Hold the existing short without modification. EURUSD remains slightly below its 20-hour and 50-day averages, while the firm US 10-year yield supports the USD. Hourly RSI has recovered to neutral and price is above the 50-hour average, so conviction is reduced, but the 1.1562 invalidation has not been breached and stop-defined risk remains minimal.

Hold the existing short. EURUSD remains below its 20-hour average with hourly RSI at 41.03, and the elevated US 10-year yield continues to support the USD tactically. Price has marginally reclaimed the 50-hour and 50-day averages, reducing conviction, but it remains well below the 1.1562 invalidation level and the defined risk is minimal.

The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI is 41.48, and recent hourly structure remains weak. Price has not approached or breached the 1.1562 invalidation level, while the existing stop keeps risk minimal. Hold without adding or changing the stop or target.

The short thesis remains valid but only moderately. EURUSD is still below its 20-hour average with hourly RSI at 42.88 after a sustained intraday decline. Price has not reclaimed the 1.1562 invalidation level, and the existing stop limits risk to a very small fraction of capital. Retain the position without adding or changing its stop or target.

Open a modest tactical EURUSD short because intraday momentum and short-term trend alignment favor further weakness, while the defined stop keeps estimated loss far below 1% of capital.

Close and realize the gain because GBPUSD has effectively reached the 1.3530 target, recording an hourly high of 1.352997. Hourly RSI is overbought at 73.44, while the remaining upside is negligible relative to potential giveback toward the 1.3503 stop.

GBPUSD broke above the 1.3504-1.3506 resistance zone and nearly reached the 1.3530 target, confirming the bullish thesis. With hourly RSI now overbought and price pulling back slightly from the high, raise the stop to 1.3503 to lock in a gain while retaining the existing target.

The long thesis remains valid but unconfirmed. Price is marginally above entry and above the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while hourly and daily RSI remain constructive. Repeated rejection near 1.3504-1.3507 limits conviction, but there is no breakdown toward the 1.3463 invalidation level. Retain the modest position with the existing stop and target without adding exposure.

The long thesis remains valid: price is above entry and above the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, with constructive hourly and daily momentum. Resistance around 1.3504-1.3506 still has not been decisively cleared, but there is no bearish breakdown or invalidation. Retain the modest position with the existing 1.3463 stop and 1.3530 target without adding exposure.

The long thesis remains valid. Price is above entry and above the 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while hourly and daily RSI remain constructive. GBPUSD is again testing the 1.3504-1.3506 resistance area but has not established a decisive breakout, so retain the modest position with the existing 1.3463 stop and 1.3530 target without adding exposure.