TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-19 14:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · 3e74ef385fe8

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 014.61

Latest review

2026-08-19 14:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 84%

Régime contrasté et peu propice à une nouvelle entrée : faiblesse intrajournalière des indices européens, forte dépréciation du dollar et accélération haussière déjà très étendue sur EUR/USD et GBP/USD. Les indices américains ne peuvent pas être exploités car leur historique est obsolète à l’ouverture.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

97–108 of 411 decisions

OPEN^NDQ

Open a small Nasdaq 100 long because trend alignment, positive 24-hour momentum and falling volatility provide a defined continuation setup with more than 2:1 reward-to-risk to the target.

CLOSE^DAX

Close because the breakout continuation thesis has failed: DAX reversed from 26573.50 and is back below the 26504.54 prior-day high. The latest completed hours show fading momentum, while daily RSI is elevated and the European session is nearing its close. Exiting before the stop preserves capital rather than waiting for a deeper failed-breakout decline.

OPEN^DAX

Open a small DAX long because fresh data confirm relative-strength continuation through prior daily and weekly resistance, with defined risk and favorable reward-to-risk.

CLOSEEURUSD

Close before the imminent US CPI release. EURUSD has reclaimed its 20-hour and 50-hour averages, hourly RSI has risen to 57.69, and the fresh intraday structure no longer supports the original bearish continuation thesis. The prior US-yield support is also unconfirmed because rates data are stale while the market is closed. Preserving capital is preferable to retaining a weakened short through binary event risk.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the mild bearish thesis remains intact. The position has minimal defined risk and is still within its 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged, but do not add exposure ahead of the high-impact US CPI release in about 88 minutes.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, preserving the mild bearish thesis. The position is slightly profitable with minimal defined risk. Hold unchanged, but do not add exposure ahead of the high-impact US CPI release.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, preserving the mild bearish thesis. Downside momentum is limited and US CPI is approaching, but the position remains within its 1-3 day horizon with very small defined risk. Hold unchanged and do not add exposure.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the short thesis remains intact. Momentum is weak, with hourly RSI at 45.66 and nearly flat 24-hour performance, but the position remains within its 1-3 day horizon and has minimal defined risk. Hold unchanged and do not add before US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages and well below the 1.1562 invalidation, so the short thesis remains intact. Hourly RSI has recovered to 45.66 and 24-hour movement is nearly flat, showing weak downside follow-through, but the position has minimal defined risk and remains within its 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged and do not add before US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, with hourly RSI at 37.6 and price still well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The short is modestly profitable and its defined risk is minimal. Hold unchanged, but do not add ahead of high-impact US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, with hourly RSI at 41.4 and price still well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The 1.1520 target remains plausible within the 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged because risk is minimal, but do not add ahead of US CPI.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI has weakened to 38.52, and price remains well below the 1.1562 invalidation. The 1.1520 target is still plausible within the active 1-3 day horizon. Hold unchanged with minimal defined risk and do not add ahead of US CPI.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 796.55

Latest review

2026-08-19 14:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 62%

Choc dollar en pleine séance. Entre 12:00Z et 14:00Z le billet vert est vendu contre tout le bloc : EUR/USD +0,72% à 1,1660, GBP/USD +0,63% à 1,3618, USD/JPY -0,71% à 158,43, pendant que le 10 ans américain perd 9,9 pb à 4,653 et que l'or s'envole de 2,66% à 4508 avec un plus haut à 4524. La combinaison dollar en baisse + taux longs en baisse + or en hausse verticale est une repricing dovish, ou une prime de risque politique, pas un simple flux de change. Les RSI horaires le confirment et le datent : 88,4 sur EUR/USD, 83,5 sur GBP/USD, 14,2 sur USD/JPY, 77,0 sur l'or. Sur EUR/USD, le parcours de la journée représente environ 2,8 fois l'ATR journalier (19,4 pips) en deux heures, l'essentiel sur une seule bougie. Côté actions, la réaction est molle et non confirmante : le Nasdaq 100 est à -1,69% sur 24h, le S&P n'a pas comblé le gap baissier de la veille, et les indices européens se traînent, CAC à 8527 et DAX à 26093, tous deux sous leurs SMA20 et SMA50 horaires avec des RSI horaires autour de 31, l'euro fort pesant mécaniquement sur les exportateurs. Le VIX à 15,32, en baisse de 3,8%, dit qu'il n'y a aucun stress généralisé : c'est un choc de taux et de devise, pas un choc de risque actions. Calendrier : minutes du FOMC dans un peu moins de 4 heures (18:00Z) et allocution du président américain à 18:30Z, sur un marché qui vient précisément de repricer la Fed. Je suis plat, ayant soldé mon EUR/USD long à 13:05Z sur atteinte de cible.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

289–294 of 294 decisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX at 17.61 is well below the 20 risk-off trigger and trending down (-1.12% 1h, -5.06% 24h), signaling continued risk-on appetite. Price 8428.17 is now further above the 8250 stop (5.39x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8339.97/8360.50) and daily SMA50/200 (8300.95/8176.77). RSI 1h at 64.69 shows bullish momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion. Position has moved to +0.44R with bounded risk at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 stays well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50 (8342.6/8356.7) as well as daily SMA50/200, RSI 55.69 (1h) shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is closed until ~07:02 UTC so no fresh execution window regardless. PnL near flat (-4.19), risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)